Unit economics: how to tell whether each customer is profitable
Unit economics is the math of one unit of the business, usually a customer or an order: how much revenue it brings, how much it costs to serve and how much it cost to win. If each unit loses money, growth only grows the loss, no matter how fast revenue rises.
Contribution margin per order
Margin = order value − taxes − product cost − payment fee − shipping and packaging − support. In the calculator’s example, a $120 order leaves $35.60 of margin, or 30% of the order.
The example uses the calculator’s default values; replace them with your own.
LTV, CAC and payback
- Average customer lifetime = 1 ÷ monthly churn rate. At 8% a month, 12.5 months.
- LTV = monthly margin per customer × average lifetime. In the example, $445.
- LTV ÷ CAC: with a $130 CAC, 3.4 times.
- Payback = CAC ÷ monthly margin: about 3.7 months.
LTV uses margin, not revenue, because margin is what pays back CAC and fixed costs.
Maximum CAC
To keep LTV ÷ CAC at 3 or more, the maximum CAC is LTV ÷ 3. That is the reference number for marketing: above it, each new customer brings little return.
What improves the math most
Reducing churn usually has more effect than raising prices, because it extends the life of every customer. Increasing purchase frequency and average order value also helps. The calculator’s heat map shows LTV ÷ CAC for combinations of order value and churn.