Rent or buy a home: how to run the numbers
“Renting is throwing money away” is only half true. Owners also have costs that never come back: mortgage interest, property tax, insurance, maintenance and the return the down payment would earn invested. The fair comparison puts both paths on the same monthly budget: whoever spends less each month invests the difference.
What makes buying win
Home prices growing faster than investment returns, rent that is high relative to the price, a low mortgage rate and a long stay in the same home. Closing costs and selling costs are paid only once, so they weigh less the longer you stay.
What makes renting win
Cheap rent relative to the price (a rent of less than about 4% of the home’s value per year), high mortgage rates, good investment returns and the discipline to really invest the difference every month. Renting also keeps you free to move.
A quick check
Compare the yearly rent with the price. A $400,000 home renting for $2,200 a month has a rent of $26,400 a year, 6.6% of the price. Owning costs the mortgage interest, property tax and upkeep, minus the price growth. When those costs, as a share of the price, are lower than the rent ratio, buying tends to win.